Premier League Β· England Wednesday, 22 Apr 2026
AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

#6 Β· 57pts
2:2
FT Β· WON
Leeds United FC

Leeds United FC

#14 Β· 47pts
Double Chance 1X
Odds 1.40
Edge +2.5%
47%
Home Win
28%
Draw
25%
Away Win
1.49–1.03
Expected Score
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
Both Teams Score
2.5
Avg Goals / Game

Probability Comparison

AFC Bournemouth Win % Leeds United FC
47% Draw 28% 25%
Over 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
46% 54%
Both Score BTTS Clean Sheet
51% 49%
1-1
Correct Score Pick
+2.5%
Betting Edge
8/10
Value Rating

No head-to-head data available

Premier League β€” Standings 20 teams
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal FC
38 26 7 5 +44 85
2
Manchester City FC
38 23 9 6 +42 78
3
Manchester United FC
38 20 11 7 +19 71
4
Aston Villa FC
38 19 8 11 +7 65
5
Liverpool FC
38 17 9 12 +10 60
6
AFC Bournemouth H
38 13 18 7 +4 57
7
Sunderland AFC
38 14 12 12 -6 54
8
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
38 14 11 13 +6 53
9
Brentford FC
38 14 11 13 +3 53
10
Chelsea FC
38 14 10 14 +6 52
11
Fulham FC
38 15 7 16 -4 52
12
Newcastle United FC
38 14 7 17 -2 49
13
Everton FC
38 13 10 15 -3 49
14
Leeds United FC A
38 11 14 13 -7 47
15
Crystal Palace FC
38 11 12 15 -10 45
16
Nottingham Forest FC
38 11 11 16 -3 44
17
Tottenham Hotspur FC
38 10 11 17 -9 41
18
West Ham United FC
38 10 9 19 -19 39
19
Burnley FC
38 4 10 24 -37 22
20
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
38 3 11 24 -41 20
Champions League Relegation Today's teams
AFC Bournemouth
Last 1 results
D
D vs Leeds United FC 2–2
Leeds United FC
Last 1 results
D
D @ AFC Bournemouth 2–2
Season Stats Comparison
6
League Position
14
57
Points
47
38
Played
38
13
Wins
11
18
Draws
14
7
Losses
13
58
Goals For
49
54
Goals Against
56
+4
Goal Diff
-7
AFC Bournemouth Leeds United FC
Expert Match Insight
In-depth statistical breakdown

Evenly matched on paper β€” our Poisson + Dixon-Coles model edges toward 1X based on form and position.

Score Probability Matrix (Top 12)
1-1
13.6%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.4%
Prediction Model Summary
Model Statistical & form-based
Market Double Chance
Our Pick 1X
Market Odds 1.40
Expected Score 1.49 – 1.03
Avg Goals/Game 2.52
Over 2.5 Prob 46%
BTTS Prob 51%
AFC Bournemouth
Leeds United FC