Premier League Predictions for Saturday 17 October: Previews & Tips
By AfriPredictions · · 3 min read
There are 5 Premier League matches on Saturday 17 October. We have gone through each one, looking at recent form, past meetings and what our prediction model expects, so you can see the reasoning behind every pick. All kick-off times are in Kenya time (EAT).
Picks at a glance
| Match | Kick-off (EAT) | Our free pick |
|---|---|---|
| Everton vs Chelsea | 14:30 | Draw @ 2.29 |
| Brentford vs Liverpool | 17:00 | Both teams to score: Yes @ 1.59 |
| Manchester City vs Ipswich | 17:00 | Over 1.5 goals @ 1.27 |
| Fulham vs Hull City | 17:00 | Under 2.5 goals @ 1.54 |
| Newcastle vs Aston Villa | 19:30 | Correct score: 1-1 @ 8.55 |
Everton vs Chelsea
Kick-off: Saturday 17 October, 14:30 EAT · Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium · Full match analysis
Everton's last 5 games read DDWWD (latest last): 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats, with 6 goals scored and 4 conceded. Chelsea have won 2 of their last 5 matches (LWDLW, latest last), scoring 14 and conceding 11. Goals-wise, Everton's recent matches have averaged 2.0 goals per game and Chelsea's 5.0.
| Everton win | Draw | Chelsea win |
|---|---|---|
| 40% | 26% | 34% |
Our model sees very little between the sides: Everton 40%, Chelsea 34%, with the draw at 26%.
Our free picks:
- Draw @ 2.29, our model rates it 41% likely
- Correct score: 1-1 @ 7.83, our model rates it 12% likely
Brentford vs Liverpool
Kick-off: Saturday 17 October, 17:00 EAT · Venue: Gtech Community Stadium · Full match analysis
Brentford have won 2 of their last 5 matches (DDWWD, latest last), scoring 10 and conceding 6. Liverpool's last 5 games read DWWLW (latest last): 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 10 goals scored and 7 conceded. Goals-wise, Brentford's recent matches have averaged 3.2 goals per game and Liverpool's 3.4.
| Brentford win | Draw | Liverpool win |
|---|---|---|
| 45% | 23% | 32% |
Our model makes Brentford the favourites at 45%, with Liverpool on 32% and the draw at 23%.
Our free picks:
- Both teams to score: Yes @ 1.59, our model rates it 59% likely
- Brentford to win @ 2.00, our model rates it 47% likely
- Half-time/full-time: Home / Home @ 3.13, our model rates it 30% likely
Manchester City vs Ipswich
Kick-off: Saturday 17 October, 17:00 EAT · Venue: Etihad Stadium · Full match analysis
Manchester City's last 5 games read WWWWL (latest last): 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, with 16 goals scored and 7 conceded. That is strong form. Ipswich have won 2 of their last 5 matches (LWLLW, latest last), scoring 7 and conceding 10. It is a run they will want to turn around. Goals-wise, Manchester City's recent matches have averaged 4.6 goals per game and Ipswich's 3.4.
Our free pick:
- Over 1.5 goals @ 1.27, our model rates it 74% likely
Fulham vs Hull City
Kick-off: Saturday 17 October, 17:00 EAT · Venue: Craven Cottage · Full match analysis
Fulham have won 1 of their last 5 matches (LDWDL, latest last), scoring 7 and conceding 8. Hull City's last 5 games read DLDLD (latest last): 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats, with 5 goals scored and 7 conceded. Goals-wise, Fulham's recent matches have averaged 3.0 goals per game and Hull City's 2.4.
Our free picks:
- Under 2.5 goals @ 1.54, our model rates it 61% likely
- Correct score: 1-1 @ 7.23, our model rates it 13% likely
Newcastle vs Aston Villa
Kick-off: Saturday 17 October, 19:30 EAT · Venue: St James' Park · Full match analysis
Newcastle's last 5 games read DWLWL (latest last): 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 7 goals scored and 11 conceded. Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5 matches (WWWDW, latest last), scoring 17 and conceding 6. That is strong form. Goals-wise, Newcastle's recent matches have averaged 3.6 goals per game and Aston Villa's 4.6.
Our free pick:
- Correct score: 1-1 @ 8.55, our model rates it 11% likely
Before you bet
These previews come from match data and our prediction model. Kick-off times can change, so check the match page on the day. 18+ only: please bet responsibly and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. T&Cs apply.
More from AfriPredictions: today's predictions · Premier League predictions and fixtures · our recent winning picks.
