FAW Championship · Saturday, 01 Aug 2026
Carmarthen Town
Home
4-3
Full time
Richmond Park
Caerau (Ely)
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
60%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Carmarthen Town wins
0
Draws
0
Caerau (Ely) wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
33%
50%
Attack
66%
50%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Carmarthen Town
last 0 at home
No at home games on record yet.
Caerau (Ely)
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Carmarthen Town | Caerau (Ely) | |
|---|---|---|
| 0% 0/0 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 0% 0/0 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 0% 0/0 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 0% 0/0 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 0% 0/0 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 0% 0/0 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Carmarthen Town
No half-time scores on record for this side.
Caerau (Ely)
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Caerau (Ely) |
12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |
Carmarthen Town |
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Carmarthen Town face Caerau (Ely) in FAW Championship. We have no recent results on record for Carmarthen Town. Caerau (Ely) have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 9 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Carmarthen Town, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Caerau (Ely). Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 01 Aug 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at Richmond Park as part of the FAW Championship.
