Friendlies Clubs · Saturday, 01 Aug 2026
Rio Ave
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Tondela
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.88 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
49%
Draw
27%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.91
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Rio Ave wins
0
Draws
0
Tondela wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
77%
Recent form
33%
77%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
49%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Rio Ave
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Tondela
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Rio Ave | Tondela | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 3/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 100% 3/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/6 0% |
| 67% 2/3 | Both teams scored | 4/6 67% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 0% 0/3 | Failed to score | 1/6 17% |
At half time
Rio Ave
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
0%
Behind
100%
Tondela
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
33%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Rio Ave face Tondela in Friendlies Clubs. Rio Ave have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 7 and conceding 3 (2.33 points per game). Tondela have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 49% probability backing Rio Ave, home advantage and superior chance creation make Rio Ave to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 49% win probability for Rio Ave, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Tondela. Our top recommended betting pick is Rio Ave Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.91 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 01 Aug 2026 at 14:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Friendlies Clubs.
