Esiliiga A · Saturday, 01 Aug 2026
Nõmme Kalju II
Home
1-4
Full time
Hiiu Stadium
Maardu
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 1.2
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
20%
Away
32%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
78%
1.21
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
76%
1.24
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
78%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Nõmme Kalju II wins
0
Draws
0
Maardu wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
66%
33%
Attack
73%
5%
Defence
6%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
48%
Win probability
32%
Home and away record
Nõmme Kalju II
last 3 at home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Maardu
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Nõmme Kalju II | Maardu | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 4/5 80% |
| 0% 0/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 0/5 0% |
At half time
Nõmme Kalju II
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Maardu
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Nõmme Kalju II face Maardu in Esiliiga A. Nõmme Kalju II have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 16 (0.4 points per game). Maardu have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 14 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 78% and Both Teams to Score at 76%.
With a 48% probability backing Nõmme Kalju II, home advantage and superior chance creation make Nõmme Kalju II to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for Nõmme Kalju II, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 32% probability for Maardu. Our top recommended betting pick is Nõmme Kalju II Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 76% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 01 Aug 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium as part of the Esiliiga A.
