Esiliiga A · Saturday, 01 Aug 2026
Nõmme United II
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Tartu Welco
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.21
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.94 - 2.22
Win probability
Home
10%
Draw
11%
Away
78%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
78%
1.21
Double Chance
Draw/Away
89%
1.06
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
89%
1.06
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
75%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
89%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.16
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Nõmme United II wins
0
Draws
1
Tartu Welco wins
21 Jun 2026
Tartu Welco
5 - 2
Nõmme United II
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
46%
53%
Attack
95%
6%
Defence
20%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
10%
Win probability
78%
Home and away record
Nõmme United II
last 3 at home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
1.33
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Tartu Welco
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
4.50
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Nõmme United II | Tartu Welco | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 6/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/5 100% |
| 83% 5/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 83% 5/6 | Both teams scored | 4/5 80% |
| 0% 0/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/5 0% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Nõmme United II
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
33%
Behind
67%
Tartu Welco
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
0%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Nõmme United II face Tartu Welco in Esiliiga A. Nõmme United II have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 14 (0.4 points per game). Tartu Welco have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 16 and conceding 12 (1.4 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Nõmme United II won 0, Tartu Welco won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 89% and Both Teams to Score at 75%.
Tartu Welco's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 78% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Tartu Welco to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 10% win probability for Nõmme United II, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 78% probability for Tartu Welco. Our top recommended betting pick is Tartu Welco Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.16 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 75% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 01 Aug 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Esiliiga A.
