Primera C · Tuesday, 04 Aug 2026
El Porvenir
Home
0-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Fenix
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 1.2
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
24%
Away
32%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Draw
68%
1.38
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
El Porvenir wins
0
Draws
0
Fenix wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
53%
20%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
44%
Win probability
32%
Home and away record
El Porvenir
last 2 at home
0W
2D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Fenix
last 5 away from home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| El Porvenir | Fenix | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 3/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 6/9 67% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/9 22% |
| 60% 3/5 | Failed to score | 1/9 11% |
At half time
El Porvenir
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
80%
Behind
0%
Fenix
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
56%
Level
22%
Behind
22%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
El Porvenir |
31 | 7 | 16 | 8 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 |
Fenix |
31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | -7 | 34 |
Match Preview & Analysis
El Porvenir face Fenix in Primera C. El Porvenir have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (0.6 points per game). Fenix have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 44% probability backing El Porvenir, home advantage and superior chance creation make El Porvenir to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for El Porvenir, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 32% probability for Fenix. Our top recommended betting pick is El Porvenir Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 04 Aug 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Primera C.
