Como Cup · Saturday, 01 Aug 2026
Lens
Home
3-1
Full time
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Villarreal
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.09 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
58%
Draw
20%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
58%
1.62
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71%
1.32
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
71%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lens wins
0
Draws
0
Villarreal wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
50%
95%
Attack
50%
50%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
58%
Win probability
22%
Team news
Lens
- M. Nawrocki · Jumpers Knee
- A. Sima · Muscle Bruise
- I. Ganiou · Jumpers Knee
- O. Édouard · Groin Injury
- F. Ivanović · Head Injury
- J. Chavez · Coach's decision
- O. Edouard · Groin Injury
- I. Jourdren · Off the roster
Villarreal
- J. Foyth · Muscle Injury
- I. Akhomach · Muscle Injury
- G. Moreno · Muscle Injury
- P. Gueye · Red Card
- N. Saliba · Injury
- C. Romero · Injury
- N. Pepe · Eye injury
- T. Buchanan · Muscle Injury
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Home and away record
Lens
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Villarreal
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
2 matches.
| Lens | Villarreal | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 2/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 100% 2/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 100% 2/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 100% 2/2 | Both teams scored | 1/2 50% |
| 0% 0/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/2 0% |
| 0% 0/2 | Failed to score | 1/2 50% |
At half time
Lens
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Villarreal
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Lens face Villarreal in Como Cup. Lens have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 6 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). Villarreal have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 3 and conceding 3 (1.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 71% and Both Teams to Score at 67%.
With a 58% probability backing Lens, home advantage and superior chance creation make Lens to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 58% win probability for Lens, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Villarreal. Our top recommended betting pick is Lens Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 67% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 01 Aug 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia as part of the Como Cup.
