Primera Nacional · Saturday, 01 Aug 2026
Patronato
Home
3-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Quilmes
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
18%
Over 2.5
26%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Patronato v Quilmes pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Patronato wins
0
Draws
0
Quilmes wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
16%
Recent form
33%
16%
Attack
22%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Patronato
last 2 at home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Quilmes
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Patronato | Quilmes | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 2/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 50% 2/4 | Failed to score | 2/3 67% |
At half time
Patronato
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
Quilmes
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
Quilmes |
35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | +2 | 42 |
| 16 |
Patronato |
35 | 7 | 16 | 12 | -6 | 37 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Patronato face Quilmes in Primera Nacional. Patronato have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 2 and conceding 4 (0.5 points per game). Quilmes have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 2 and conceding 3 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 18% and Both Teams to Score at 26%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Patronato, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Quilmes. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 26%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 01 Aug 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Primera Nacional.
