Major League Soccer · Saturday, 01 Aug 2026
Philadelphia Union
Home
3-2
Full time
Subaru Park
Atlanta United FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.16
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.64 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
81%
Draw
13%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
81%
1.16
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.27
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Philadelphia Union wins
0
Draws
0
Atlanta United FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
11%
66%
Attack
33%
83%
Defence
22%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
81%
Win probability
6%
Home and away record
Philadelphia Union
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Atlanta United FC
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Philadelphia Union | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 1/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 50% 1/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 50% 1/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 50% 1/2 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 50% 1/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 0% 0/2 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
Philadelphia Union
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Atlanta United FC
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
33%
Behind
67%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union |
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | +14 | 50 |
| 13 |
Atlanta United FC |
34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | -17 | 33 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Philadelphia Union face Atlanta United FC in Major League Soccer. Philadelphia Union have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 4 and conceding 1 (3 points per game). Atlanta United FC have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (0.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 81% probability backing Philadelphia Union, home advantage and superior chance creation make Philadelphia Union to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 81% win probability for Philadelphia Union, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for Atlanta United FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Philadelphia Union Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.27 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 01 Aug 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at Subaru Park as part of the Major League Soccer.
