USL Championship · Sunday, 02 Aug 2026
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Home
5-4
Full time
Al Lang Stadium
Louisville City
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.42
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.28 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
66%
Draw
19%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
66%
1.42
Double Chance
Home/Draw
85%
1.11
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Tampa Bay Rowdies wins
0
Draws
0
Louisville City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
58%
Recent form
80%
58%
Attack
60%
41%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
66%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
Tampa Bay Rowdies
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Louisville City
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 75% 3/4 | Both teams scored | 3/5 60% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/5 40% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 0/5 0% |
At half time
Tampa Bay Rowdies
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
75%
Level
0%
Behind
25%
Louisville City
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
80%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tampa Bay Rowdies |
29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | +24 | 58 |
| 4 |
Louisville City |
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | +6 | 43 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Tampa Bay Rowdies face Louisville City in USL Championship. Tampa Bay Rowdies have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (1.75 points per game). Louisville City have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 66% probability backing Tampa Bay Rowdies, home advantage and superior chance creation make Tampa Bay Rowdies to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 66% win probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Louisville City. Our top recommended betting pick is Tampa Bay Rowdies Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 02 Aug 2026 at 00:00 (East Africa Time) at Al Lang Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
