USL Championship · Sunday, 02 Aug 2026
Las Vegas Lights
Home
1-1
Full time
Cashman Field
Phoenix Rising
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 1.14
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
21%
Away
29%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
72%
1.31
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
72%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Las Vegas Lights wins
0
Draws
0
Phoenix Rising wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
26%
60%
Attack
53%
46%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Win probability
29%
Home and away record
Las Vegas Lights
last 2 at home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Phoenix Rising
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Las Vegas Lights | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 80% 4/5 | Both teams scored | 4/5 80% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 0% 0/5 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Las Vegas Lights
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Phoenix Rising
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
80%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Phoenix Rising |
29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 |
Las Vegas Lights |
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -6 | 36 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Las Vegas Lights face Phoenix Rising in USL Championship. Las Vegas Lights have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1.8 points per game). Phoenix Rising have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 72% and Both Teams to Score at 70%.
With a 50% probability backing Las Vegas Lights, home advantage and superior chance creation make Las Vegas Lights to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for Las Vegas Lights, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 29% probability for Phoenix Rising. Our top recommended betting pick is Las Vegas Lights Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 70% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 02 Aug 2026 at 02:30 (East Africa Time) at Cashman Field as part of the USL Championship.
