Premiership · Sunday, 02 Aug 2026
ST Johnstone
Home
4-3
Full time
McDiarmid Park
Kilmarnock
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 0.85
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
28%
Away
16%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Home/Draw
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
31%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.89
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
ST Johnstone wins
0
Draws
0
Kilmarnock wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
73%
66%
Attack
33%
73%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
56%
Win probability
16%
Home and away record
ST Johnstone
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Kilmarnock
last 4 away from home
3W
1D
0L
2.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| ST Johnstone | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| 86% 6/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 29% 2/7 | Both teams scored | 1/6 17% |
| 57% 4/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/6 83% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
ST Johnstone
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
29%
Behind
14%
Kilmarnock
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
ST Johnstone |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 |
Kilmarnock |
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 8 |
Match Preview & Analysis
ST Johnstone face Kilmarnock in Premiership. ST Johnstone have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). Kilmarnock have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 2 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 31% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
With a 56% probability backing ST Johnstone, home advantage and superior chance creation make ST Johnstone to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for ST Johnstone, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 16% probability for Kilmarnock. Our top recommended betting pick is ST Johnstone Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.89 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 02 Aug 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at McDiarmid Park as part of the Premiership.
