Paulista Série B · Sunday, 02 Aug 2026
Independente SP
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Flamengo SP
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.33 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
68%
Draw
21%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
68%
1.38
Double Chance
Home/Draw
89%
1.06
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Independente SP wins
0
Draws
1
Flamengo SP wins
25 Jul 2026
Flamengo SP
1 - 0
Independente SP
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
86%
46%
Attack
46%
86%
Defence
86%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
68%
Win probability
11%
Home and away record
Independente SP
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Flamengo SP
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Independente SP | Flamengo SP | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 3/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 0% 0/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 20% 1/5 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 60% 3/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/5 60% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Independente SP
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Flamengo SP
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Independente SP face Flamengo SP in Paulista Série B. Independente SP have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2 (2.4 points per game). Flamengo SP have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2 (2.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Independente SP won 0, Flamengo SP won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 68% probability backing Independente SP, home advantage and superior chance creation make Independente SP to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 68% win probability for Independente SP, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Flamengo SP. Our top recommended betting pick is Independente SP Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 02 Aug 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Paulista Série B.
