Super Cup · Sunday, 02 Aug 2026
PSV Eindhoven
Home
0-4
Full time
Philips Stadion
AZ Alkmaar
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.18
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.62 - 0.68
Win probability
Home
80%
Draw
8%
Away
8%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
80%
1.18
Double Chance
Home/Draw
88%
1.07
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
90%
1.04
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
76%
1.24
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
90%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
PSV Eindhoven wins
0
Draws
0
AZ Alkmaar wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
75%
Recent form
73%
95%
Attack
86%
33%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
80%
Win probability
8%
Home and away record
PSV Eindhoven
last 4 at home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
3.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
AZ Alkmaar
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| PSV Eindhoven | AZ Alkmaar | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/5 100% |
| 100% 4/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 75% 3/4 | Both teams scored | 4/5 80% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 0/5 0% |
At half time
PSV Eindhoven
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
75%
Behind
0%
AZ Alkmaar
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
PSV Eindhoven face AZ Alkmaar in Super Cup. PSV Eindhoven have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 14 and conceding 8 (2.25 points per game). AZ Alkmaar have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 7 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 90% and Both Teams to Score at 76%.
With a 80% probability backing PSV Eindhoven, home advantage and superior chance creation make PSV Eindhoven to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 80% win probability for PSV Eindhoven, a 8% chance of a draw, and a 8% probability for AZ Alkmaar. Our top recommended betting pick is PSV Eindhoven Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.3 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 76% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 02 Aug 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Philips Stadion as part of the Super Cup.
