Primera B Metropolitana · Sunday, 02 Aug 2026
San Martín Burzaco
Home
1-1
Full time
Francisco Boga Stadium
Deportivo Merlo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.92 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
51%
Draw
26%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.9
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
San Martín Burzaco wins
0
Draws
0
Deportivo Merlo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
33%
26%
Attack
40%
60%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
51%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
San Martín Burzaco
last 2 at home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Deportivo Merlo
last 4 away from home
0W
2D
2L
0.50
points a game
0.75
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| San Martín Burzaco | Deportivo Merlo | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 0% 0/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 5/7 71% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 50% 3/6 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
San Martín Burzaco
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
50%
Behind
17%
Deportivo Merlo
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
57%
Behind
29%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
San Martín Burzaco |
41 | 12 | 15 | 14 | -5 | 51 |
| 14 |
Deportivo Merlo |
41 | 11 | 15 | 15 | -15 | 48 |
Match Preview & Analysis
San Martín Burzaco face Deportivo Merlo in Primera B Metropolitana. San Martín Burzaco have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (1 points per game). Deportivo Merlo have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 51% probability backing San Martín Burzaco, home advantage and superior chance creation make San Martín Burzaco to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 51% win probability for San Martín Burzaco, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Deportivo Merlo. Our top recommended betting pick is San Martín Burzaco Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.9 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 02 Aug 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Francisco Boga Stadium as part of the Primera B Metropolitana.
