Úrvalsdeild · Monday, 03 Aug 2026
Valur Reykjavik
Home
2-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Stjarnan
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.16 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
61%
Draw
18%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
61%
1.54
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
79%
1.19
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
73%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
79%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Valur Reykjavik wins
0
Draws
0
Stjarnan wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
26%
33%
Attack
26%
46%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
61%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Valur Reykjavik
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Stjarnan
last 6 away from home
0W
2D
4L
0.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.83
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Valur Reykjavik | Stjarnan | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 57% 4/7 | Both teams scored | 6/9 67% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/9 11% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
Valur Reykjavik
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
43%
Behind
14%
Stjarnan
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
56%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Valur Reykjavik face Stjarnan in Úrvalsdeild. Valur Reykjavik have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game). Stjarnan have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 13 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 79% and Both Teams to Score at 73%.
With a 61% probability backing Valur Reykjavik, home advantage and superior chance creation make Valur Reykjavik to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 61% win probability for Valur Reykjavik, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Stjarnan. Our top recommended betting pick is Valur Reykjavik Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 73% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Monday, 03 Aug 2026 at 19:15 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Úrvalsdeild.
