UEFA Champions League · Tuesday, 04 Aug 2026
Ararat-Armenia
Home
2-1
Full time
Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium
Celje
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.31
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.43 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
72%
Draw
15%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
72%
1.31
Double Chance
Home/Draw
87%
1.08
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.22
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ararat-Armenia wins
0
Draws
0
Celje wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
33%
73%
Attack
53%
46%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
72%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
Ararat-Armenia
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.67
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Celje
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Ararat-Armenia | Celje | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 6/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 7/9 78% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/9 11% |
| 0% 0/6 | Failed to score | 1/9 11% |
At half time
Ararat-Armenia
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Celje
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
63%
Behind
38%
Match Preview & Analysis
Ararat-Armenia face Celje in UEFA Champions League. Ararat-Armenia have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 8 (1.8 points per game). Celje have won 0, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 64%.
With a 72% probability backing Ararat-Armenia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Ararat-Armenia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 72% win probability for Ararat-Armenia, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for Celje. Our top recommended betting pick is Ararat-Armenia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.22 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 64% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 04 Aug 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium as part of the UEFA Champions League.
