UEFA Champions League · Tuesday, 04 Aug 2026
Sparta Praha
Home
2-1
Full time
Pragues Letna Hill
Lyon
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.92 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
51%
Draw
21%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Away
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sparta Praha wins
0
Draws
0
Lyon wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
60%
53%
Attack
66%
33%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
51%
Win probability
27%
Home and away record
Sparta Praha
last 3 at home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.33
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Lyon
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Sparta Praha | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/6 100% |
| 83% 5/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Sparta Praha
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
17%
Behind
33%
Lyon
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
50%
Behind
17%
Match Preview & Analysis
Sparta Praha face Lyon in UEFA Champions League. Sparta Praha have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 10 (1.2 points per game). Lyon have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 10 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 67%.
With a 51% probability backing Sparta Praha, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sparta Praha to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 51% win probability for Sparta Praha, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for Lyon. Our top recommended betting pick is Sparta Praha Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 67% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 04 Aug 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Pragues Letna Hill as part of the UEFA Champions League.
