UEFA Europa League · Thursday, 06 Aug 2026
Benfica
Home
6-1
Full time
Estádio da Luz
Heart Of Midlothian
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.02
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.91 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
92%
Draw
3%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
92%
1.02
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
84%
1.12
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
84%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.43
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Benfica wins
0
Draws
0
Heart Of Midlothian wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
40%
95%
Attack
26%
46%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
92%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Benfica
last 6 at home
4W
0D
2L
2.00
points a game
4.50
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Heart Of Midlothian
last 4 away from home
1W
0D
3L
0.75
points a game
0.75
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Benfica | Heart Of Midlothian | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 7/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 86% 6/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/6 17% |
| 57% 4/7 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 43% 3/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 0% 0/7 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Benfica
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
43%
Behind
14%
Heart Of Midlothian
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Benfica face Heart Of Midlothian in UEFA Europa League. Benfica have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 25 and conceding 8 (1.8 points per game). Heart Of Midlothian have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 9 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 84% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With a 92% probability backing Benfica, home advantage and superior chance creation make Benfica to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 92% win probability for Benfica, a 3% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Heart Of Midlothian. Our top recommended betting pick is Benfica Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.43 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 06 Aug 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Estádio da Luz as part of the UEFA Europa League.
