Liga Pro Serie B · Thursday, 06 Aug 2026
El Nacional
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
9 de Octubre
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.31
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.89 - 2.08
Win probability
Home
8%
Draw
20%
Away
72%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
72%
1.31
Double Chance
Draw/Away
92%
1.02
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
El Nacional wins
0
Draws
0
9 de Octubre wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
46%
26%
Attack
13%
53%
Defence
93%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
8%
Win probability
72%
Home and away record
El Nacional
last 2 at home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
9 de Octubre
last 3 away from home
0W
3D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.33
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| El Nacional | 9 de Octubre | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 3/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 1/5 20% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/5 80% |
| 60% 3/5 | Failed to score | 3/5 60% |
At half time
El Nacional
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
9 de Octubre
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
80%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
9 de Octubre |
22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 37 |
| 12 |
El Nacional |
22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | -17 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
El Nacional face 9 de Octubre in Liga Pro Serie B. El Nacional have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game). 9 de Octubre have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 1 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 30%.
9 de Octubre's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 72% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for 9 de Octubre to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 8% win probability for El Nacional, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 72% probability for 9 de Octubre. Our top recommended betting pick is 9 de Octubre Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 30%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 06 Aug 2026 at 21:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga Pro Serie B.
