Leagues Cup · Friday, 07 Aug 2026
Cruz Azul
Home
1-0
Full time
Subaru Park
Philadelphia Union
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.95 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
52%
Draw
22%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Cruz Azul wins
0
Draws
0
Philadelphia Union wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
58%
Recent form
95%
83%
Attack
77%
25%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
52%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Cruz Azul
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Philadelphia Union
last 0 away from home
No away from home games on record yet.
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Cruz Azul | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 100% 4/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 100% 4/4 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 0% 0/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
Cruz Azul
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Philadelphia Union
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Cruz Azul face Philadelphia Union in Leagues Cup. Cruz Azul have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 10 and conceding 9 (1.75 points per game). Philadelphia Union have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 7 and conceding 3 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 52% probability backing Cruz Azul, home advantage and superior chance creation make Cruz Azul to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 52% win probability for Cruz Azul, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Philadelphia Union. Our top recommended betting pick is Cruz Azul Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 07 Aug 2026 at 00:00 (East Africa Time) at Subaru Park as part of the Leagues Cup.
