Liga de Expansión MX · Friday, 07 Aug 2026
Leones Negros UDG
Home
1-3
Full time
Estadio Jalisco
Correcaminos Uat
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
60%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Leones Negros UDG wins
0
Draws
0
Correcaminos Uat wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
41%
95%
Attack
75%
66%
Defence
16%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Leones Negros UDG
last 0 at home
No at home games on record yet.
Correcaminos Uat
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Leones Negros UDG | Correcaminos Uat | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 2/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 50% 1/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 50% 1/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 50% 1/2 | Both teams scored | 3/4 75% |
| 50% 1/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/2 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Leones Negros UDG
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
100%
Level
0%
Behind
0%
Correcaminos Uat
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Leones Negros UDG |
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 7 |
Correcaminos Uat |
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Leones Negros UDG face Correcaminos Uat in Liga de Expansión MX. Leones Negros UDG have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 6 and conceding 2 (3 points per game). Correcaminos Uat have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 9 and conceding 10 (1.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Leones Negros UDG, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Correcaminos Uat. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 07 Aug 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Jalisco as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
