Eerste Divisie · Friday, 07 Aug 2026
Vitesse
Home
1-1
Full time
GelreDome
Waalwijk
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.52 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
34%
Draw
44%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
90%
1.04
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
83%
1.13
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
10%
Over 2.5
17%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.5
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vitesse wins
0
Draws
0
Waalwijk wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
41%
Recent form
40%
25%
Attack
40%
75%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
34%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Vitesse
last 4 at home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
0.75
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Waalwijk
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Vitesse | Waalwijk | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 2/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 50% 2/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/7 29% |
| 25% 1/4 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
Vitesse
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Waalwijk
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Vitesse face Waalwijk in Eerste Divisie. Vitesse have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 3 (1.25 points per game). Waalwijk have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 10% and Both Teams to Score at 17%.
With evenly matched metrics (34% vs 22%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 34% win probability for Vitesse, a 44% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Waalwijk. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.5 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 17%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 07 Aug 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at GelreDome as part of the Eerste Divisie.
