Premier Division · Friday, 07 Aug 2026
Derry City
Home
2-0
Full time
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
Sligo Rovers
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.32
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.4 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
71%
Draw
16%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
71%
1.32
Double Chance
Home/Draw
87%
1.08
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.16
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Derry City wins
0
Draws
0
Sligo Rovers wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
33%
33%
Attack
66%
66%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
71%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Derry City
last 5 at home
2W
0D
3L
1.20
points a game
1.60
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Sligo Rovers
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Derry City | Sligo Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| 78% 7/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 56% 5/9 | Both teams scored | 6/7 86% |
| 22% 2/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 0/7 0% |
At half time
Derry City
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
22%
Behind
44%
Sligo Rovers
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
29%
Behind
14%
Match Preview & Analysis
Derry City face Sligo Rovers in Premier Division. Derry City have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (0.8 points per game). Sligo Rovers have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 8 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 71% probability backing Derry City, home advantage and superior chance creation make Derry City to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 71% win probability for Derry City, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Sligo Rovers. Our top recommended betting pick is Derry City Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.16 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 07 Aug 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium as part of the Premier Division.
