Serie B · Friday, 07 Aug 2026
Ceara
Home
2-0
Full time
Estádio Presidente Vargas
Ponte Preta
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.33 - 0.72
Win probability
Home
68%
Draw
22%
Away
10%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
68%
1.38
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ceara wins
0
Draws
0
Ponte Preta wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
6%
33%
Attack
33%
53%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
68%
Win probability
10%
Home and away record
Ceara
last 2 at home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Ponte Preta
last 3 away from home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Ceara | Ponte Preta | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 33% 2/6 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/7 0% |
| 67% 4/6 | Failed to score | 3/7 43% |
At half time
Ceara
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
33%
Behind
67%
Ponte Preta
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
29%
Behind
57%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 |
Ceara |
37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | -9 | 43 |
| 20 |
Ponte Preta |
37 | 3 | 6 | 28 | -58 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Ceara face Ponte Preta in Serie B. Ceara have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1 points per game). Ponte Preta have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 10 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
With a 68% probability backing Ceara, home advantage and superior chance creation make Ceara to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 68% win probability for Ceara, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 10% probability for Ponte Preta. Our top recommended betting pick is Ceara Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 07 Aug 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at Estádio Presidente Vargas as part of the Serie B.
