South Australia NPL · Saturday, 08 Aug 2026
Croydon Kings
Home
1-1
Full time
Regency Park
Sturt Lions
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.45
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.26 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
65%
Draw
17%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
65%
1.45
Double Chance
Home/Draw
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
79%
1.19
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
79%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.16
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Croydon Kings wins
0
Draws
0
Sturt Lions wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
58%
93%
Attack
41%
40%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
65%
Win probability
18%
Home and away record
Croydon Kings
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Sturt Lions
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Croydon Kings | Sturt Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 100% 5/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 80% 4/5 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/4 50% |
| 0% 0/5 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Croydon Kings
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
20%
Behind
20%
Sturt Lions
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Match Preview & Analysis
Croydon Kings face Sturt Lions in South Australia NPL. Croydon Kings have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 9 (1.6 points per game). Sturt Lions have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 79% and Both Teams to Score at 72%.
With a 65% probability backing Croydon Kings, home advantage and superior chance creation make Croydon Kings to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 65% win probability for Croydon Kings, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for Sturt Lions. Our top recommended betting pick is Croydon Kings Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.16 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 72% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 08 Aug 2026 at 05:00 (East Africa Time) at Regency Park as part of the South Australia NPL.
