Segunda Liga · Saturday, 08 Aug 2026
Chaves
Home
1-4
Full time
Estadio Municipal de Chaves
Academica
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.13
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.69 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
83%
Draw
13%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
83%
1.13
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
28%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.28
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chaves wins
0
Draws
0
Academica wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
33%
53%
Attack
40%
46%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
83%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Chaves
last 4 at home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
2.25
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Academica
last 8 away from home
2W
2D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Chaves | Academica | |
|---|---|---|
| 57% 4/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 43% 3/7 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Chaves
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Academica
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
43%
Behind
29%
Match Preview & Analysis
Chaves face Academica in Segunda Liga. Chaves have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game). Academica have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 28%.
With a 83% probability backing Chaves, home advantage and superior chance creation make Chaves to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 83% win probability for Chaves, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Academica. Our top recommended betting pick is Chaves Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.28 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 28%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 08 Aug 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Chaves as part of the Segunda Liga.
