Virsliga · Saturday, 08 Aug 2026
BFC Daugavpils
Home
2-0
Full time
Stadions Celtnieks
Tukums
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.12 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
59%
Draw
21%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
59%
1.59
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
BFC Daugavpils wins
0
Draws
0
Tukums wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
20%
80%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
59%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
BFC Daugavpils
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.67
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Tukums
last 4 away from home
0W
0D
4L
0.00
points a game
1.25
scored a game
3.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| BFC Daugavpils | Tukums | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 71% 5/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 57% 4/7 | Both teams scored | 7/8 88% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/8 0% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 1/8 13% |
At half time
BFC Daugavpils
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
14%
Behind
43%
Tukums
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
25%
Behind
38%
Match Preview & Analysis
BFC Daugavpils face Tukums in Virsliga. BFC Daugavpils have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 6 (2 points per game). Tukums have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 10 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 59% probability backing BFC Daugavpils, home advantage and superior chance creation make BFC Daugavpils to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 59% win probability for BFC Daugavpils, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Tukums. Our top recommended betting pick is BFC Daugavpils Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 08 Aug 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadions Celtnieks as part of the Virsliga.
