National League · Saturday, 08 Aug 2026
Hartlepool
Home
2-0
Full time
Victoria Park
Barrow
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.2
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
21%
Away
32%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Hartlepool wins
0
Draws
0
Barrow wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
86%
66%
Attack
60%
46%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
32%
Home and away record
Hartlepool
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Barrow
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Hartlepool | Barrow | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 1/5 20% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/5 80% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Hartlepool
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Barrow
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
40%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Hartlepool face Barrow in National League. Hartlepool have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 8 (2.4 points per game). Barrow have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 72%.
With a 47% probability backing Hartlepool, home advantage and superior chance creation make Hartlepool to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for Hartlepool, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 32% probability for Barrow. Our top recommended betting pick is Hartlepool Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 72% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 08 Aug 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Victoria Park as part of the National League.
