National League - North · Saturday, 08 Aug 2026
Chorley
Home
1-2
Full time
Victory Park
Chester
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.92 - 1.8
Win probability
Home
9%
Draw
31%
Away
59%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
59%
1.59
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
81%
1.16
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
82%
1.15
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
19%
Over 2.5
18%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.72
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chorley wins
0
Draws
0
Chester wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
11%
Recent form
66%
11%
Attack
40%
44%
Defence
93%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
9%
Win probability
59%
Home and away record
Chorley
last 3 at home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
0.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Chester
last 4 away from home
4W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Chorley | Chester | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 2/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/7 0% |
| 33% 1/3 | Both teams scored | 0/7 0% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 6/7 86% |
| 67% 2/3 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
Chorley
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Chester
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
43%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Chorley face Chester in National League - North. Chorley have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 1 and conceding 5 (0.33 points per game). Chester have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 1 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 19% and Both Teams to Score at 18%.
Chester's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 59% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Chester to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 9% win probability for Chorley, a 31% chance of a draw, and a 59% probability for Chester. Our top recommended betting pick is Chester Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.72 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 18%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 08 Aug 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Victory Park as part of the National League - North.
