National League - North · Saturday, 08 Aug 2026
Merthyr Town
Home
2-0
Full time
Penydarren Park
Hednesford Town
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.24
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.52 - 0.7
Win probability
Home
76%
Draw
15%
Away
9%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
76%
1.24
Double Chance
Home/Draw
91%
1.03
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
66%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.22
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Merthyr Town wins
0
Draws
0
Hednesford Town wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
50%
60%
Attack
50%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
76%
Win probability
9%
Home and away record
Merthyr Town
last 5 at home
3W
1D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.60
scored a game
1.20
conceded a game
Hednesford Town
last 0 away from home
No away from home games on record yet.
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Merthyr Town | Hednesford Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 83% 5/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 1/2 50% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/2 50% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 0/2 0% |
At half time
Merthyr Town
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
33%
Behind
17%
Hednesford Town
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
0%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Hednesford Town |
15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 24 |
| 19 |
Merthyr Town |
15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Merthyr Town face Hednesford Town in National League - North. Merthyr Town have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game). Hednesford Town have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 3 and conceding 2 (1.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 66% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 76% probability backing Merthyr Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Merthyr Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 76% win probability for Merthyr Town, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 9% probability for Hednesford Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Merthyr Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.22 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 08 Aug 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Penydarren Park as part of the National League - North.
