Serie A · Saturday, 08 Aug 2026
Gremio
Home
2-1
Full time
Arena do Grêmio
Sao Paulo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.88 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
49%
Draw
25%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Gremio wins
0
Draws
0
Sao Paulo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
16%
33%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
49%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Gremio
last 4 at home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.75
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Sao Paulo
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Gremio | Sao Paulo | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 71% 5/7 | Both teams scored | 2/2 100% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/2 0% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 0/2 0% |
At half time
Gremio
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
33%
Behind
50%
Sao Paulo
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Sao Paulo |
34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 44 |
| 18 |
Gremio |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 37 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Gremio face Sao Paulo in Serie A. Gremio have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1 points per game). Sao Paulo have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 2 and conceding 3 (0.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 49% probability backing Gremio, home advantage and superior chance creation make Gremio to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 49% win probability for Gremio, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Sao Paulo. Our top recommended betting pick is Gremio Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 08 Aug 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Arena do Grêmio as part of the Serie A.
