Serie B · Saturday, 08 Aug 2026
Vila Nova
Home
0-1
Full time
Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga
Sport Recife
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.27
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.48 - 0.7
Win probability
Home
74%
Draw
17%
Away
9%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
74%
1.27
Double Chance
Home/Draw
91%
1.03
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.18
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vila Nova wins
0
Draws
0
Sport Recife wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
26%
26%
Attack
46%
53%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
74%
Win probability
9%
Home and away record
Vila Nova
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Sport Recife
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Vila Nova | Sport Recife | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 0% 0/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 5/6 83% |
| 0% 0/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/6 0% |
| 50% 3/6 | Failed to score | 1/6 17% |
At half time
Vila Nova
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
17%
Behind
50%
Sport Recife
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
33%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Vila Nova |
37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 66 |
| 9 |
Sport Recife |
37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | +8 | 55 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Vila Nova face Sport Recife in Serie B. Vila Nova have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game). Sport Recife have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 74% probability backing Vila Nova, home advantage and superior chance creation make Vila Nova to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 74% win probability for Vila Nova, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 9% probability for Sport Recife. Our top recommended betting pick is Vila Nova Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.18 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 08 Aug 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga as part of the Serie B.
