Primeira Liga · Saturday, 08 Aug 2026
Estrela
Home
2-2
Full time
Estádio José Gomes
Sporting CP
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.09
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.8 - 2.39
Win probability
Home
4%
Draw
9%
Away
86%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
86%
1.09
Double Chance
Draw/Away
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.19
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Estrela wins
0
Draws
0
Sporting CP wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
95%
66%
Attack
95%
66%
Defence
83%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
5%
Win probability
86%
Home and away record
Estrela
last 4 at home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
2.25
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Sporting CP
last 0 away from home
No away from home games on record yet.
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Estrela | Sporting CP | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/4 50% |
| 0% 0/5 | Failed to score | 0/4 0% |
At half time
Estrela
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
33%
Behind
0%
Sporting CP
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Sporting CP |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 12 |
Estrela |
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Estrela face Sporting CP in Primeira Liga. Estrela have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). Sporting CP have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 17 and conceding 2 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Sporting CP's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 86% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Sporting CP to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 4% win probability for Estrela, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 86% probability for Sporting CP. Our top recommended betting pick is Sporting CP Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.19 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 08 Aug 2026 at 19:30 (East Africa Time) at Estádio José Gomes as part of the Primeira Liga.
