Primera Nacional · Saturday, 08 Aug 2026
Atletico DE Rafaela
Home
1-0
Full time
Estadio Nuevo Monumental
Chacarita Juniors
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
33%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
77%
1.22
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
23%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.76
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atletico DE Rafaela wins
0
Draws
0
Chacarita Juniors wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
53%
20%
Attack
26%
53%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
46%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Atletico DE Rafaela
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Chacarita Juniors
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Atletico DE Rafaela | Chacarita Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 3/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 33% 2/6 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/5 40% |
| 50% 3/6 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Atletico DE Rafaela
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
83%
Behind
17%
Chacarita Juniors
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
60%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Atletico DE Rafaela |
35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | -6 | 46 |
| 15 |
Chacarita Juniors |
35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | -8 | 39 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Atletico DE Rafaela face Chacarita Juniors in Primera Nacional. Atletico DE Rafaela have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game). Chacarita Juniors have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 23% and Both Teams to Score at 30%.
With a 46% probability backing Atletico DE Rafaela, home advantage and superior chance creation make Atletico DE Rafaela to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for Atletico DE Rafaela, a 33% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Chacarita Juniors. Our top recommended betting pick is Atletico DE Rafaela Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.76 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 30%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 08 Aug 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Monumental as part of the Primera Nacional.
