Primera Nacional · Sunday, 09 Aug 2026
Quilmes
Home
1-1
Full time
Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes
Almagro
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
28%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
33%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.89
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Quilmes v Almagro pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Quilmes wins
0
Draws
0
Almagro wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
58%
Recent form
33%
58%
Attack
16%
58%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
19%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Qui Quilmes | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | +5 | 32 |
| 13 | Alm Almagro | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | -8 | 31 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Quilmes face Almagro in Primera Nacional. Quilmes have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.75 points per game). Almagro have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 2 and conceding 6 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 33% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With a 53% probability backing Quilmes, home advantage and superior chance creation make Quilmes to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Quilmes, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Almagro. Our top recommended betting pick is Quilmes Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.89 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 09 Aug 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes as part of the Primera Nacional.
