Primera B Metropolitana · Saturday, 08 Aug 2026
Deportivo Merlo
Home
0-4
Full time
Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium
Sportivo Italiano
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
30%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Deportivo Merlo wins
0
Draws
0
Sportivo Italiano wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
73%
40%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Deportivo Merlo
last 3 at home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Sportivo Italiano
last 4 away from home
2W
2D
0L
2.00
points a game
0.75
scored a game
0.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Deportivo Merlo | Sportivo Italiano | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/7 0% |
| 75% 6/8 | Both teams scored | 3/7 43% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/7 57% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
Deportivo Merlo
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
63%
Behind
25%
Sportivo Italiano
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
71%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Sportivo Italiano |
41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | +14 | 69 |
| 14 |
Deportivo Merlo |
41 | 11 | 15 | 15 | -15 | 48 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Deportivo Merlo face Sportivo Italiano in Primera B Metropolitana. Deportivo Merlo have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game). Sportivo Italiano have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 2 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 30% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Deportivo Merlo, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Sportivo Italiano. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 08 Aug 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium as part of the Primera B Metropolitana.
