USL League One · Saturday, 08 Aug 2026
One Knoxville
Home
2-1
Full time
Regal Stadium
Sarasota Paradise
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.21
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.57 - 0.65
Win probability
Home
78%
Draw
15%
Away
7%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
78%
1.21
Double Chance
Home/Draw
93%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.22
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
One Knoxville wins
0
Draws
0
Sarasota Paradise wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
16%
40%
Attack
8%
40%
Defence
25%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
78%
Win probability
7%
Home and away record
One Knoxville
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Sarasota Paradise
last 3 away from home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
0.33
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| One Knoxville | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|
| 86% 6/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 71% 5/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 71% 5/7 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/4 50% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 3/4 75% |
At half time
One Knoxville
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
71%
Behind
14%
Sarasota Paradise
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
One Knoxville |
31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +13 | 51 |
| 11 |
Sarasota Paradise |
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 36 |
Match Preview & Analysis
One Knoxville face Sarasota Paradise in USL League One. One Knoxville have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (0.8 points per game). Sarasota Paradise have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 1 and conceding 9 (0.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With a 78% probability backing One Knoxville, home advantage and superior chance creation make One Knoxville to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 78% win probability for One Knoxville, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 7% probability for Sarasota Paradise. Our top recommended betting pick is One Knoxville Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.22 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 08 Aug 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at Regal Stadium as part of the USL League One.
