Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Primera C · Friday, 31 Jul 2026
Mercedes
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Estrella Del Sur
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.35 - 1.47
Win probability
Home
27%
Draw
29%
Away
44%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Draw/Away
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
36%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mercedes wins
0
Draws
0
Estrella Del Sur wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
75%
80%
Attack
58%
93%
Defence
91%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
27%
Win probability
44%
Home and away record
Mercedes
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
2.67
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Estrella Del Sur
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Mercedes | Estrella Del Sur | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 20% 1/5 | Both teams scored | 0/4 0% |
| 80% 4/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/4 75% |
| 0% 0/5 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Mercedes
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
40%
Behind
0%
Estrella Del Sur
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Estrella Del Sur |
31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 |
Mercedes |
31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | +6 | 44 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Mercedes face Estrella Del Sur in Primera C. Mercedes have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 1 (2.6 points per game). Estrella Del Sur have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 1 (2.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 36% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Estrella Del Sur's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 44% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Estrella Del Sur to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 27% win probability for Mercedes, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 44% probability for Estrella Del Sur. Our top recommended betting pick is Estrella Del Sur Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 31 Jul 2026 at 21:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Primera C.
