Major League Soccer · Friday, 31 Jul 2026
New York City FC
Home
1-1
Full time
Yankee Stadium
Toronto FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
26%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
New York City FC wins
0
Draws
0
Toronto FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
22%
83%
Attack
11%
66%
Defence
77%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
New York City FC
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Toronto FC
last 3 away from home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
0.33
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| New York City FC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 2/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 100% 2/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 50% 1/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 100% 2/2 | Both teams scored | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/3 67% |
| 0% 0/2 | Failed to score | 2/3 67% |
At half time
New York City FC
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
100%
Level
0%
Behind
0%
Toronto FC
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
New York City FC |
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC |
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | -15 | 39 |
Match Preview & Analysis
New York City FC face Toronto FC in Major League Soccer. New York City FC have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 5 and conceding 2 (3 points per game). Toronto FC have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 1 and conceding 2 (0.67 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 54% probability backing New York City FC, home advantage and superior chance creation make New York City FC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for New York City FC, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Toronto FC. Our top recommended betting pick is New York City FC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 31 Jul 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at Yankee Stadium as part of the Major League Soccer.
