Serie A · Sunday, 09 Aug 2026
Botafogo
Home
1-1
Full time
Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos
Fluminense
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.95 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
52%
Draw
24%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Botafogo wins
0
Draws
0
Fluminense wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
77%
Recent form
26%
33%
Attack
20%
89%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
52%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Botafogo
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Fluminense
last 2 away from home
0W
2D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Botafogo | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|
| 33% 1/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 33% 1/3 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 67% 2/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/7 43% |
| 33% 1/3 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
Botafogo
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
33%
Behind
0%
Fluminense
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
57%
Behind
29%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Fluminense |
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | +13 | 57 |
| 11 |
Botafogo |
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -7 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Botafogo face Fluminense in Serie A. Botafogo have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 1 (2.33 points per game). Fluminense have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 52% probability backing Botafogo, home advantage and superior chance creation make Botafogo to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 52% win probability for Botafogo, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Fluminense. Our top recommended betting pick is Botafogo Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 09 Aug 2026 at 00:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos as part of the Serie A.
