MLS Next Pro · Sunday, 09 Aug 2026
North Texas
Home
3-1
Full time
Choctaw Stadium
Tacoma Defiance
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.29
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
17%
Away
36%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Away
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
91%
1.03
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
87%
1.08
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
91%
Over 2.5
87%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
North Texas wins
0
Draws
0
Tacoma Defiance wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
80%
46%
Attack
73%
40%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
36%
Home and away record
North Texas
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Tacoma Defiance
last 3 away from home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| North Texas | Tacoma Defiance | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 3/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/7 29% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 1/7 14% |
At half time
North Texas
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
60%
Behind
40%
Tacoma Defiance
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
57%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
North Texas face Tacoma Defiance in MLS Next Pro. North Texas have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game). Tacoma Defiance have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 91% and Both Teams to Score at 87%.
With a 47% probability backing North Texas, home advantage and superior chance creation make North Texas to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for North Texas, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 36% probability for Tacoma Defiance. Our top recommended betting pick is North Texas Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 87% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 09 Aug 2026 at 00:45 (East Africa Time) at Choctaw Stadium as part of the MLS Next Pro.
