USL Championship · Sunday, 09 Aug 2026
Monterey Bay
Home
2-5
Full time
Cardinale Stadium
New Mexico United
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.28 - 1.62
Win probability
Home
24%
Draw
25%
Away
51%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Draw/Away
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.9
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Monterey Bay wins
0
Draws
0
New Mexico United wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
5%
Recent form
86%
46%
Attack
80%
20%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
24%
Win probability
51%
Home and away record
Monterey Bay
last 3 at home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
New Mexico United
last 3 away from home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.33
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Monterey Bay | New Mexico United | |
|---|---|---|
| 57% 4/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 57% 4/7 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/6 50% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
Monterey Bay
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
71%
Behind
14%
New Mexico United
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
New Mexico United |
29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 49 |
| 12 |
Monterey Bay |
29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -21 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Monterey Bay face New Mexico United in USL Championship. Monterey Bay have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 12 (0 points per game). New Mexico United have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 5 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
New Mexico United's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 51% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for New Mexico United to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 24% win probability for Monterey Bay, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 51% probability for New Mexico United. Our top recommended betting pick is New Mexico United Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.9 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 09 Aug 2026 at 02:00 (East Africa Time) at Cardinale Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
