USL Championship · Sunday, 09 Aug 2026
Orange County SC
Home
0-3
Full time
Championship Soccer Stadium
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.2
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
23%
Away
32%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
68%
1.38
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Orange County SC wins
0
Draws
0
Tampa Bay Rowdies wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
66%
46%
Attack
80%
53%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
32%
Home and away record
Orange County SC
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Tampa Bay Rowdies
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Orange County SC | Tampa Bay Rowdies | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 7/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/5 100% |
| 71% 5/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 71% 5/7 | Both teams scored | 4/5 80% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 0/5 0% |
At half time
Orange County SC
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
71%
Behind
0%
Tampa Bay Rowdies
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
0%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tampa Bay Rowdies |
29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | +24 | 58 |
| 9 |
Orange County SC |
29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | -9 | 39 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Orange County SC face Tampa Bay Rowdies in USL Championship. Orange County SC have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game). Tampa Bay Rowdies have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 11 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 45% probability backing Orange County SC, home advantage and superior chance creation make Orange County SC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Orange County SC, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 32% probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies. Our top recommended betting pick is Orange County SC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 09 Aug 2026 at 02:00 (East Africa Time) at Championship Soccer Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
