Premiership · Sunday, 09 Aug 2026
Kilmarnock
Home
1-5
Full time
Rugby Park
Celtic
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.21
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.57 - 0.65
Win probability
Home
78%
Draw
15%
Away
7%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
78%
1.21
Double Chance
Home/Draw
93%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.22
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Kilmarnock wins
0
Draws
0
Celtic wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
40%
33%
Attack
40%
73%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
78%
Win probability
7%
Home and away record
Kilmarnock
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Celtic
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Kilmarnock | Celtic | |
|---|---|---|
| 43% 3/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 29% 2/7 | Both teams scored | 4/5 80% |
| 71% 5/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 0/5 0% |
At half time
Kilmarnock
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
71%
Behind
0%
Celtic
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Kilmarnock face Celtic in Premiership. Kilmarnock have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game). Celtic have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 78% probability backing Kilmarnock, home advantage and superior chance creation make Kilmarnock to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 78% win probability for Kilmarnock, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 7% probability for Celtic. Our top recommended betting pick is Kilmarnock Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.22 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 09 Aug 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at Rugby Park as part of the Premiership.
