Eerste Divisie · Sunday, 09 Aug 2026
MVV
Home
2-1
Full time
De Geusselt
Jong Utrecht
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
60%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
MVV wins
0
Draws
0
Jong Utrecht wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
5%
40%
Attack
33%
46%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
MVV
last 3 at home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Jong Utrecht
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
5.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| MVV | Jong Utrecht | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 4/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 2/2 100% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/2 0% |
| 50% 4/8 | Failed to score | 0/2 0% |
At half time
MVV
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
29%
Behind
43%
Jong Utrecht
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
0%
Behind
100%
Match Preview & Analysis
MVV face Jong Utrecht in Eerste Divisie. MVV have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game). Jong Utrecht have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 2 games, scoring 2 and conceding 7 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for MVV, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Jong Utrecht. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 09 Aug 2026 at 14:45 (East Africa Time) at De Geusselt as part of the Eerste Divisie.
