First League · Sunday, 09 Aug 2026
Vardar Skopje
Home
0-2
Full time
National Arena Toshe Proeski
Shkendija
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.24
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.94 - 2.17
Win probability
Home
10%
Draw
14%
Away
76%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
76%
1.24
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
77%
1.22
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
77%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vardar Skopje wins
0
Draws
0
Shkendija wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
60%
60%
Attack
60%
20%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
10%
Win probability
76%
Home and away record
Vardar Skopje
last 3 at home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Shkendija
last 5 away from home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
1.80
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Vardar Skopje | Shkendija | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 7/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 71% 5/7 | Both teams scored | 4/9 44% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
Vardar Skopje
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
14%
Behind
43%
Shkendija
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
67%
Behind
11%
Match Preview & Analysis
Vardar Skopje face Shkendija in First League. Vardar Skopje have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 12 (1.2 points per game). Shkendija have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 77% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Shkendija's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 76% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Shkendija to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 10% win probability for Vardar Skopje, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 76% probability for Shkendija. Our top recommended betting pick is Shkendija Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 09 Aug 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at National Arena Toshe Proeski as part of the First League.
