Úrvalsdeild · Sunday, 09 Aug 2026
Stjarnan
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Keflavik
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.56 - 1.49
Win probability
Home
36%
Draw
19%
Away
45%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Home/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
83%
1.13
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
80%
1.18
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
83%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Stjarnan wins
0
Draws
0
Keflavik wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
46%
33%
Attack
73%
13%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
36%
Win probability
45%
Home and away record
Stjarnan
last 3 at home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.33
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Keflavik
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Stjarnan | Keflavik | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 6/7 86% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 0/7 0% |
At half time
Stjarnan
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
60%
Behind
30%
Keflavik
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
29%
Behind
29%
Match Preview & Analysis
Stjarnan face Keflavik in Úrvalsdeild. Stjarnan have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 13 (1.2 points per game). Keflavik have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 83% and Both Teams to Score at 80%.
Keflavik's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 45% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Keflavik to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 36% win probability for Stjarnan, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 45% probability for Keflavik. Our top recommended betting pick is Keflavik Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 80% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 09 Aug 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Úrvalsdeild.
