Serie A · Sunday, 09 Aug 2026
Bahia
Home
0-0
Full time
Arena Fonte Nova
Vasco DA Gama
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.09 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
58%
Draw
21%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
58%
1.62
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Bahia wins
0
Draws
0
Vasco DA Gama wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
41%
Recent form
44%
25%
Attack
33%
75%
Defence
77%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
58%
Win probability
21%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bah Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | +6 | 37 |
| 19 | Vas Vasco DA Gama | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -14 | 22 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Bahia face Vasco DA Gama in Serie A. Bahia have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 3 (1.25 points per game). Vasco DA Gama have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 2 (1.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 58% probability backing Bahia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Bahia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 58% win probability for Bahia, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Vasco DA Gama. Our top recommended betting pick is Bahia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 09 Aug 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Arena Fonte Nova as part of the Serie A.
