Serie A · Sunday, 09 Aug 2026
Bahia
Home
0-0
Full time
Arena Fonte Nova
Vasco DA Gama
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.09 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
58%
Draw
21%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
58%
1.62
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Bahia wins
0
Draws
0
Vasco DA Gama wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
60%
26%
Attack
46%
73%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
58%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Bahia
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Vasco DA Gama
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Bahia | Vasco DA Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 0% 0/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 0% 0/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Bahia
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Vasco DA Gama
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
50%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Bahia |
34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | +5 | 53 |
| 13 |
Vasco DA Gama |
33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 41 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Bahia face Vasco DA Gama in Serie A. Bahia have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.2 points per game). Vasco DA Gama have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 58% probability backing Bahia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Bahia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 58% win probability for Bahia, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Vasco DA Gama. Our top recommended betting pick is Bahia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 09 Aug 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Arena Fonte Nova as part of the Serie A.
